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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Kilmarnock logo

Motherwell
1 - 1
Kilmarnock

Bair (38')
Butcher (80'), Spittal (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mayo (13')
Wright (36'), Armstrong (48'), Stewart (80'), Findlay (85'), van Veen (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Hibernian
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock

Games between these two teams have proven to be close this season, and it has been clear that each team knows how to cause problems for the other. Considering the impressive form that Motherwell are enjoying as of late, they could end up sharing the spoils with Kilmarnock. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
46.84% (0.687 0.69) 25.71% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 27.45% (-0.697 -0.7)
Both teams to score 51.76% (-0.519 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.19% (-0.448 -0.45)51.81% (0.448 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.43% (-0.389 -0.39)73.57% (0.38999999999999 0.39)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.89% (0.12400000000001 0.12)22.11% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.53% (0.187 0.19)55.47% (-0.186 -0.19)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46% (-0.774 -0.77)33.54% (0.775 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.81% (-0.857 -0.86)70.19% (0.858 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 46.84%
    Kilmarnock 27.45%
    Draw 25.7%
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.19% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.121 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 46.84%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.131 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 27.45%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Kilmarnock
1-0
Motherwell
Cameron (49')
Watson (38'), Lyons (90+5')

Casey (32')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Motherwell
2-1
Kilmarnock
Casey (59'), Paton (90+8')
O'Donnell (43'), Spencer (52'), Slattery (57'), Paton (66'), Casey (71'), McGinn (90+2')
Watkins (12')
Watkins (32'), Deas (66'), Watson (73')
May 6, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Motherwell
2-0
Kilmarnock
Spittal (4'), Van Veen (90+1')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Motherwell
2-2
Kilmarnock
Van Veen (22'), Slattery (60')
McGinn (73' og.), Polworth (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic3210106248288
2RangersRangers312075383771
3Hibernian310258461256
4Aberdeen31024654-853
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd30034250-850
6St Mirren32105056-648
Relegation Group
1Hearts32014946346
2Motherwell32014262-2045
3Kilmarnock33004560-1544
4Dundee31025476-2237
5Ross County30033563-2835
RSt Johnstone31023764-2732
 
First Phase
CCeltic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
RSt Johnstone3385203358-2529


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