

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 33.41% ( | 26.86% ( | 39.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.92% ( | 54.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.49% ( | 75.5% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% ( | 30.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.35% ( | 66.64% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( | 26.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.11% ( | 61.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.41% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 2-2 @ 5.02% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0-2 @ 7.09% ( 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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