

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
| 56.76% ( | 24.26% ( | 18.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.96% ( | 54.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.53% ( | 75.47% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% ( | 18.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.6% ( | 50.4% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.16% ( | 42.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.84% ( | 79.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 13.49% 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 6.24% ( 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 4-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 56.75% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.84% Total : 18.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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