

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 24.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 51.05% ( | 24.28% ( | 24.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.99% ( | 48.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.82% ( | 70.18% ( |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( | 18.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.76% ( | 50.24% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.21% ( | 33.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.54% ( | 70.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 4-2 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 51.05% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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