Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
| 45.4% ( | 25.88% ( | 28.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.19% ( | 51.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.42% ( | 73.57% ( |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( | 22.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.53% ( | 56.47% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.42% ( | 32.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.88% ( | 69.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 4-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 45.39% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 1-2 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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