Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
