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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Kilmarnock logo
Motherwell
2 - 1
Kilmarnock
Casey (59'), Paton (90+8')
O'Donnell (43'), Spencer (52'), Slattery (57'), Paton (66'), Casey (71'), McGinn (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Watkins (12')
Watkins (32'), Deas (66'), Watson (73')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Motherwell 0-2 Kilmarnock

While Motherwell are undefeated so far in the Scottish Premiership, this weekend could prove to be a difficult test against a team in fantastic form. Kilmarnock have defeated some of the biggest teams in the division already and have put together some strong defensive displays that could give them an edge here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
46.43% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 26.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 27.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.89% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.81% (0.055999999999997 0.06)54.19% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (0.047000000000001 0.05)75.59% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (0.036999999999992 0.04)23.31% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (0.053000000000004 0.05)57.25% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (0.022999999999996 0.02)34.95% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (0.021999999999998 0.02)71.69% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 46.43%
    Kilmarnock 27.28%
    Draw 26.29%
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.64%
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 46.43%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.56%
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.28%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Kilmarnock

Motherwell
40.0%
Draw
33.3%
Kilmarnock
26.7%
15
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Motherwell
2-0
Kilmarnock
Spittal (4'), Van Veen (90+1')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Motherwell
2-2
Kilmarnock
Van Veen (22'), Slattery (60')
McGinn (73' og.), Polworth (75')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Kilmarnock
2-1
Motherwell
Armstrong (71'), Taylor (76')
Armstrong (83'), Power (90+4')
Van Veen (14')
O'Donnell (19')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Motherwell
2-0
Kilmarnock
Cole (47'), O'Donnell (85')
Campbell (77'), Long (78'), McGinley (79')

Broadfoot (85')
rhs 2.0
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Sinner
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic108202361726
2RangersRangers96031751218
3St Mirren95311510518
4Dundee9252910-111
5Hearts932489-111
6Motherwell93241012-211
7Kilmarnock92431112-110
8Hibernian102441316-310
9Livingston10244917-810
10Aberdeen8233101009
11Ross County9234915-69
12St Johnstone9045315-124

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