

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock | 
| 46.43% (  0.03) | 26.29% (  -0.02) | 27.28% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 49.89% (  0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.81% (  0.06) | 54.19% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.4% (  0.05) | 75.59% (  -0.05) | 
| Motherwell Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.69% (  0.04) | 23.31% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.75% (  0.05) | 57.25% (  -0.05) | 
| Kilmarnock Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.04% (  0.02) | 34.95% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.3% (  0.02) | 71.69% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock | 
| 1-0 @ 11.86% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 4.41% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 4.19% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.32% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 1.61% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.53% (  0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 46.43% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.15% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% (  0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 8.56% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.56% 0-2 @ 4.5% (  -0) 1-3 @ 2.3% (  0) 2-3 @ 1.67% (  0) 0-3 @ 1.58% (  -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.28% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celtic | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 
| 2 | RangersRangers | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 
| 3 | St Mirren | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 
| 4 | Dundee | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 | 
| 5 | Hearts | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 | 
| 6 | Motherwell | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 | 
| 7 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 | 
| 8 | Hibernian | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 10 | 
| 9 | Livingston | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 | 
| 10 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 
| 11 | Ross County | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 | 
| 12 | St Johnstone | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 4 | 
| > Scottish Premiership Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
