Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
46.43% (![]() | 26.29% (![]() | 27.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.81% (![]() | 54.19% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.4% (![]() | 75.59% (![]() |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% (![]() | 23.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.75% (![]() | 57.25% (![]() |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.04% (![]() | 34.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.3% (![]() | 71.69% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 11.86% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 46.43% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.15% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.77% ( ![]() Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 8.56% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.56% 0-2 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.58% ( ![]() Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 26 |
2 | RangersRangers | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 18 |
3 | St Mirren | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
4 | Dundee | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
5 | Hearts | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
6 | Motherwell | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
7 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
8 | Hibernian | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Livingston | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
10 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Ross County | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 |
12 | St Johnstone | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |