

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 28.61% ( | 26.65% ( | 44.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.15% ( | 54.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.85% ( | 76.15% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.74% ( | 34.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.04% ( | 70.96% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( | 24.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.18% ( | 58.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 2-0 @ 4.8% ( 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 3-2 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.61% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 11.79% ( 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0-2 @ 8.32% ( 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0-3 @ 3.91% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0-4 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 44.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 44 | 12 | 32 | 51 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 49 |
| 3 | Porto | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 45 |
| 4 | Braga | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 26 |
| 8 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 25 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 24 |
| 10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 23 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 21 |
| 13 | Estrela Amadora | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 21 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 21 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 |
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | ChavesChaves | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 14 |
| 18 | Vizela | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 13 |
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
