MX23RW : Sunday, February 11 05:03:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Famalicao logo
Farense
1 - 1
Famalicao
Duarte (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vinicios (19')
Nathan (24'), Sa (50'), Mihaj (70'), Chiquinho (75'), Junior (78'), de Haas (79')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Farense
Sunday, February 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, January 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 1-1 Famalicao

Farense and Famalicao have struggled for results in recent weeks and will head into this one looking to pick up a morale-boosting win. With just three points separating the sides, we anticipate a cagey affair at the Estadio de Sao Luís with both teams settling for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawFamalicao
28.61% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 26.65% (0.023 0.02) 44.75% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 49.7% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.15% (-0.067 -0.07)54.85% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.85% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)76.15% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.74% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)34.26% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.04% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)70.96% (0.012 0.01)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)24.4% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.18% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)58.83% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 28.61%
    Famalicao 44.75%
    Draw 26.64%
SC FarenseDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.8% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 28.61%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.36% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 11.79% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.32% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 44.75%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 4
Famalicao
1-0
Farense
Cadiz (79')
Aranda (20')

Oliveira (24'), Falcao (37'), Matias (54')
Muscat (64')
Feb 27, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Famalicao
0-0
Farense
Ugarte (66'), Dias (74')
Pinto (40'), Lucca (60'), Isidoro (77'), Tavares (90+3'), Gauld (90+5')
Pinto (50')
Oct 18, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Farense
3-3
Famalicao
Ferreira dos Santos (4'), Cesar (25'), Mansilla (90+4')
Pinto (45'), Ferreira dos Santos (49')
Lameiras (64' pen., 73'), Jordao (81')
Alberto Herrera Hernandez (60')
Alberto Herrera Hernandez (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica20163144123251
2Sporting Lisbon19161253193449
3Porto20143333132045
4Braga20124444271740
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes20123532201239
6MoreirenseMoreirense2110562624235
7SC FarenseFarense217592929026
8AroucaArouca207493227525
9BoavistaBoavista216692938-924
10FamalicaoFamalicao205871924-523
11Gil Vicente2064103034-422
12Estoril PraiaEstoril2163123537-221
13Estrela Amadora2156102232-1021
14PortimonensePortimonense2163122344-2121
15Casa Pia2055101934-1520
16Rio AveRio Ave203982029-918
17ChavesChaves2135132047-2714
18Vizela2027111838-2013

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!