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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Famalicao logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 7, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Chaves
Famalicao
2 - 2
Chaves
Fonseca (33'), Chiquinho (40')
Cadiz (29'), Pedro Silva (30'), Sa (43'), Nathan (45')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hernandez (23' pen.), Ribeiro (56')
Phete (39'), Rodrigues (51'), Silva (78')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Famalicao
Friday, December 29 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Chaves
Friday, December 29 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Famalicao 2-1 Chaves

While Famalicao have failed to win any of their last five matches heading into this one, it is worth noting that two of those games were against Benfica, and another was at home to Porto. The other two matches in that run ended level, and Fama have generally been good at getting results against the sides at the bottom of the league this season. With two of the worst attacks in the league on display here, this could be a bit of a slow-burner, but we fancy the hosts to come away with the points at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
FamalicaoDrawChaves
46.79% (0.295 0.3) 26.16% (-0.396 -0.4) 27.05% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
Both teams to score 50.1% (1.231 1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (1.559 1.56)53.82% (-1.561 -1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (1.294 1.29)75.29% (-1.296 -1.3)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (0.80800000000001 0.81)22.98% (-0.81 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22% (1.177 1.18)56.78% (-1.178 -1.18)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.92400000000001 0.92)34.94% (-0.924 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.956 0.96)71.69% (-0.95699999999999 -0.96)
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 46.78%
    Chaves 27.05%
    Draw 26.15%
FamalicaoDrawChaves
1-0 @ 11.8% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.139 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.096 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 46.78%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.503 -0.5)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.175 0.18)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.306 -0.31)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.102 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Famalicao vs Chaves

Famalicao
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Chaves
0.0%
16
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 31
Famalicao
1-2
Chaves
Pablo (53')
Riccieli (80' og.), Teixeira (89' pen.)
Dec 30, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 14
Chaves
0-2
Famalicao
Cadiz (18'), Jaime (53')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17141240172343
2Benfica17133135112442
3Porto17122325121338
4Braga17103440251533
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes1710342819933
6MoreirenseMoreirense178542418629
7FamalicaoFamalicao175751720-322
8SC FarenseFarense176382323021
9BoavistaBoavista175572631-520
10Casa Pia175481823-519
11Estrela Amadora174671824-618
12PortimonensePortimonense175391836-1818
13Estoril PraiaEstoril1752103132-117
14AroucaArouca174492325-216
15Gil Vicente174492731-416
16Rio AveRio Ave173681928-915
17Vizela172781627-1113
18ChavesChaves1732121844-2611

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