

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 70.11%. A draw has a probability of 17% and a win for Chaves has a probability of 12.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 0-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-3 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Chaves win it is 2-1 (3.74%).
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Benfica |
| 12.92% ( | 16.97% ( | 70.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.6% ( | 33.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.82% ( | 55.18% ( |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.01% ( | 37.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.24% ( | 74.76% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.47% ( | 8.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.48% ( | 29.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 3.74% ( 1-0 @ 3.14% ( 2-0 @ 1.52% ( 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 3-1 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.84% Total : 12.92% | 1-1 @ 7.72% ( 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0-0 @ 3.24% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 16.97% | 0-2 @ 9.82% ( 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0-3 @ 8.06% ( 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 1-3 @ 7.8% ( 0-4 @ 4.96% ( 1-4 @ 4.8% ( 2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0-5 @ 2.44% ( 1-5 @ 2.36% ( 2-4 @ 2.32% ( 2-5 @ 1.14% ( 0-6 @ 1% ( 1-6 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 70.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Porto | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Estrela Amadora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 11 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | SC FarenseFarense | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | ChavesChaves | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Vizela | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Rio AveRio Ave | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
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