

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Chaves has a probability of 27.89% and a draw has a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Chaves win is 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.8%).
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Chaves | 
| 44.91% (  -0.07) | 27.2% (  -0.03) | 27.89% (  0.1) | 
| Both teams to score 47.64% (  0.14) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 42.72% (  0.15) | 57.28% (  -0.16) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 21.88% (  0.12) | 78.12% (  -0.12) | 
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.59% (  0.03) | 25.41% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.78% (  0.05) | 60.22% (  -0.05) | 
| Chaves Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.87% (  0.16) | 36.13% (  -0.17) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.09% (  0.17) | 72.91% (  -0.17) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Chaves | 
| 1-0 @ 12.57% (  -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.77% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 8.62% (  -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.01% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 3.94% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.35% (  -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.9% | 1-1 @ 12.8% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.18% (  -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.47% (  0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 9.35% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.52% (  0.03) 0-2 @ 4.76% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 2.21% (  0.02) 0-3 @ 1.61% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% (  0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 27.89% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 | 
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 | 
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | 
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 | 
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 | 
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 | 
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 | 
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 | 
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