Arouca 0-2 Benfica - Taca da Liga Group Stage - Football

0 - 2

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Taca da Liga clash between Arouca and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Montero (25'), Fernandes (39'), Kouassi (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

di Maria (26'), Cabral (74')
Silva (35'), Guedes (45')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Moreirense
Friday, October 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica

All competitions

Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica will be licking their lips as they take on an out-of-sorts Arouca side, who have lost each of their previous eight meetings across all competitions. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we fancy As Aguias to come away with all three points at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw has a probability of 22.1% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 18.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.5%), while for an Arouca win it is 1-0 (5.56%).

Result
Arouca	Draw	Benfica
18.38% ( 0.08)	22.11% ( -0.1)	59.51% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.79% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.76% (

0.55)

46.23% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.47% (

0.52)

68.52% (

-0.52)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.04% (

0.41)

38.95% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.32% (

0.39)

75.68% (

-0.39)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.84% (

0.2)

15.15% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.25% (

0.37)

43.74% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Arouca 18.38%

Benfica 59.49%

Draw 22.11%

Arouca	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.22% Total : 18.38%	1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.11%	0-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 10.5% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.23% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 59.49%

How you voted: Arouca vs Benfica

Arouca

12.2%

Draw

2.4%

Benfica

85.4%

Head to Head

Jan 31, 2023 9.15pm

Gameweek 18

0-3

Mario (25', 54'), Musa (80')

Aug 5, 2022 8.15pm

Gameweek 1

4-0

Gilberto (8'), Silva (42', 86'), Fernandez (45+6')
Luis (55'), Weigl (82'), Silva (83')

Opoku (1')
Quaresma (45+1')

Jan 21, 2022 7pm

Gameweek 19

0-2

Adilio (46'), Moreira (56'), Quaresma (90+1'), Ba (90+3'), Kouassi (90+5')

Nunez (32' pen.), Ramos (90+2')
Grimaldo (43')

Aug 14, 2021 6pm

Gameweek 2

2-0

Waldschmidt (38'), Yaremchuk (44')
Rodrigues (85')

Hugo Silva Braga (8')

Feb 10, 2017 8.30pm

3-0