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Hertha Berlin logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
Mainz logo
Hertha Berlin
3 - 0
Mainz
Reese (45+3' pen.), Tabakovic (50' pen., 61')
Zeefuik (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ajorque (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Hertha Berlin and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 3-1 SC Paderborn
Saturday, October 28 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-2 Mainz
Friday, October 27 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Mainz 05

Mainz have began the season in disastrous form, collecting only three points from nine matches to sit bottom of the Bundesliga, while Hertha would have expected to be higher than mid-table after 11 games in the second tier. As such, neither team are likely to play with much confidence on Wednesday, with their destiny in their respective leagues considered to be a higher priority than the DFB-Pokal. However, we expect Hertha to relish the challenge of facing a side competing above them and secure a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Hertha Berlin has a probability of 33.38% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win is 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.5%).

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawMainz 05
33.38% (0.516 0.52) 23.4% (0.113 0.11) 43.21% (-0.638 -0.64)
Both teams to score 62.91% (-0.23 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.34% (-0.384 -0.38)38.65% (0.374 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.04% (-0.404 -0.4)60.96% (0.396 0.4)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (0.107 0.11)23.01% (-0.115 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (0.161 0.16)56.81% (-0.17 -0.17)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71% (-0.419 -0.42)18.29% (0.41 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.64% (-0.70999999999999 -0.71)49.35% (0.7 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 33.38%
    Mainz 05 43.21%
    Draw 23.39%
Hertha BerlinDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.086 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.18% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.54% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.38%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.21% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.05% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.71% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 43.21%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Mainz

Hertha Berlin
60.9%
Draw
30.4%
Mainz 05
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Hertha Berlin
1-1
Mainz
Ngankam (18' pen.)
Ajorque (57')
Sep 16, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Mainz
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Caci (90+4')
Tousart (30')
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Mainz
Selke (45+5' pen.)
Dardai (56'), Darida (80'), Ascacibar (88')
Widmer (25'), Bell (81')
Svensson (45+4'), Caricol (65')
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Mainz
4-0
Hertha Berlin
Jae-sung (19'), Hack (41'), Widmer (49'), Boetius (79')

Serdar (36'), Stark (59')
May 3, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 29
Mainz
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Mwene (40')
Bell (18'), Barreiro (72')
Tousart (36')
Tousart (39'), Cunha (67'), Ascacibar (74')
rhs 2.0
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