Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gernika Club win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Unionistas had a probability of 21.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gernika Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Unionistas win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.