Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Estoril Praia |
50.32% (![]() | 24.68% (![]() | 25% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.6% (![]() | 49.4% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.55% (![]() | 71.44% (![]() |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.36% (![]() | 19.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.39% (![]() | 51.61% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.73% (![]() | 34.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.03% (![]() | 70.97% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 10.95% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.55% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.91% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.91% Total : 50.32% | 1-1 @ 11.73% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.21% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 75 | 24 | 51 | 69 |
2 | Benfica | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 69 | 23 | 46 | 68 |
3 | Porto | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 59 |
4 | Braga | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 57 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 48 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 46 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 43 |
8 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Nacional | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 32 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 29 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 29 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 26 |
16 | AVS | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 18 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 47 | -28 | 18 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |