Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.93%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.