

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Newcastle Jets has a probability of 31.72% and a draw has a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (5.77%) and 0-1 (5.38%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win is 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.71%).
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 31.72% ( | 21.54% ( | 46.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 69.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.96% ( | 30.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.76% ( | 51.24% ( |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.21% ( | 19.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.15% ( | 51.85% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.37% ( | 13.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.22% ( | 40.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 1-0 @ 4.37% ( 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 2-0 @ 3.54% ( 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 4-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.72% | 1-1 @ 8.71% ( 2-2 @ 7.03% ( 0-0 @ 2.7% ( 3-3 @ 2.52% ( Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.54% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 1-3 @ 5.77% ( 0-1 @ 5.38% ( 0-2 @ 5.36% ( 2-3 @ 4.67% ( 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 1-4 @ 2.87% ( 2-4 @ 2.33% ( 0-4 @ 1.77% ( 3-4 @ 1.26% ( 1-5 @ 1.15% ( 2-5 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 46.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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