Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.58%) and 0-1 (5.53%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
32.76% (![]() | 21.83% (![]() | 45.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 68.63% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.92% (![]() | 31.08% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.52% (![]() | 52.48% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.24% (![]() | 19.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.2% (![]() | 51.79% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.53% (![]() | 14.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.56% (![]() | 42.43% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 7.27% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.76% | 1-1 @ 8.96% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 8.66% (![]() 1-3 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.34% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 3.55% Total : 45.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 48 |
3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 47 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 46 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 43 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 38 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 37 |
8 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 33 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 26 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 21 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 56 | -34 | 17 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |