Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
46.05% (![]() | 23.19% (![]() | 30.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.42% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.21% (![]() | 38.79% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.9% (![]() | 61.1% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.8% (![]() | 17.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.51% (![]() | 47.49% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% (![]() | 24.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.89% (![]() | 59.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.19% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.45% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 4.1% Total : 46.05% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 7.32% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.94% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 |
12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |