

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
| 46.05% ( | 23.19% ( | 30.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.21% ( | 38.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.9% ( | 61.1% ( |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% ( | 17.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.51% ( | 47.49% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( | 24.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.89% ( | 59.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 2-0 @ 6.56% ( 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 4-2 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 4.1% Total : 46.05% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 2-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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