

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United | 
| 46.05% (  -0.04) | 23.19% (  0) | 30.75% (  0.04) | 
| Both teams to score 62.42% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 61.21% (  0) | 38.79% (  0) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.9% (  0) | 61.1% (  0) | 
| Newcastle Jets Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.8% (  -0.01) | 17.21% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.51% (  -0.03) | 47.49% (  0.03) | 
| Western United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.39% (  0.03) | 24.61% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.89% (  0.04) | 59.11% (  -0.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United | 
| 2-1 @ 9.19% (  -0) 1-0 @ 7.45% (  -0) 2-0 @ 6.56% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.39% (  -0) 3-0 @ 3.85% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.78% (  -0) 4-1 @ 2.37% (  -0) 4-0 @ 1.69% (  -0) 4-2 @ 1.66% (  -0) Other @ 4.1% Total : 46.05% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 6.45% (  0) 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 7.32% (  0.01) 0-1 @ 5.94% (  0) 0-2 @ 4.16% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 3.42% (  0) 2-3 @ 3.01% (  0) 0-3 @ 1.95% (  0) 1-4 @ 1.2% (  0) 2-4 @ 1.06% (  0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.75% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 | 
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 | 
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 | 
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 | 
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 | 
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 | 
| 9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 | 
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 | 
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 | 
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 | 
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