Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
42.11% (![]() | 23.82% (![]() | 34.06% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.57% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.49% (![]() | 40.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.11% (![]() | 62.88% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.48% (![]() | 19.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.59% (![]() | 51.41% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.5% (![]() | 23.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.47% (![]() | 57.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.87% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.49% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.12% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 3.21% Total : 42.11% | 1-1 @ 10.85% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.42% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.69% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 7.86% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.81% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 28 |
3 | Macarthur | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 28 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 23 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 21 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 21 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 19 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 18 |
11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 11 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |