

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 85.26%. A draw has a probability of 10.3% and a win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 4.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (12.83%) and 4-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (4.92%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it is 0-1 (1.67%).
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 85.26% ( | 10.34% ( | 4.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 40.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.06% ( | 31.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.51% ( | 53.48% ( |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.77% ( | 5.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 79.35% ( | 20.65% ( |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.68% ( | 57.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 10.78% ( | 89.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 2-0 @ 13.04% ( 3-0 @ 12.83% ( 4-0 @ 9.47% ( 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 3-1 @ 7.15% ( 5-0 @ 5.59% ( 4-1 @ 5.27% ( 5-1 @ 3.11% ( 6-0 @ 2.75% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 6-1 @ 1.53% ( 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 7-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.79% Total : 85.25% | 1-1 @ 4.92% ( 0-0 @ 2.99% ( 2-2 @ 2.02% ( Other @ 0.41% Total : 10.34% | 0-1 @ 1.67% ( 1-2 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 1.35% Total : 4.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 14 | 32 | 52 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 52 |
| 3 | Porto | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 48 |
| 4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Braga | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 26 |
| 9 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 24 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 22 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 21 |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 |
| 17 | ChavesChaves | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 17 |
| 18 | Vizela | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 16 |
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