

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chaves win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Boavista has a probability of 36.84% and a draw has a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Boavista win is 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.47%).
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Boavista |
| 36.93% ( | 26.23% ( | 36.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.86% ( | 51.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.01% ( | 72.99% ( |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( | 26.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.84% ( | 62.16% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( | 26.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.78% ( | 62.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 4-1 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.93% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 1-4 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 14 | 32 | 52 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 52 |
| 3 | Porto | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 48 |
| 4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Braga | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 26 |
| 9 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 24 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 22 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 21 |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 |
| 17 | ChavesChaves | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 17 |
| 18 | Vizela | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 16 |
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