

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 73.46%. A draw has a probability of 16.1% and a win for Boavista has a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Boavista win it is 1-2 (3.1%).
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Boavista |
| 73.46% ( | 16.09% ( | 10.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.84% ( | 36.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.73% ( | 58.27% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.52% ( | 8.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.61% ( | 29.39% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.01% ( | 43.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.88% ( | 80.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Boavista |
| 2-0 @ 11.35% ( 3-0 @ 9.34% ( 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 3-1 @ 7.67% ( 4-0 @ 5.76% ( 4-1 @ 4.73% ( 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 5-0 @ 2.85% ( 5-1 @ 2.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 6-0 @ 1.17% ( 6-1 @ 0.96% ( 5-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 73.46% | 1-1 @ 7.56% ( 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0-0 @ 3.73% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 16.09% | 1-2 @ 3.1% ( 0-1 @ 3.06% ( 0-2 @ 1.26% ( 2-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 10.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
| 2 | Benfica | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 38 |
| 4 | Braga | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 | Vizela | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 |
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