Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Moreirense win it was 2-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.