

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Boavista win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Portimonense has a probability of 29.85% and a draw has a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Portimonense win is 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.44%).
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Portimonense |
| 43.97% ( | 26.18% ( | 29.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.55% ( | 52.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.87% ( | 74.13% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( | 23.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.14% ( | 57.86% ( |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( | 32.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.46% ( | 68.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 4-0 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0-3 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
| 2 | Benfica | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 38 |
| 4 | Braga | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 | Vizela | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 |
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