Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 72.18%. A draw has a probability of 16.9% and a win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 10.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 0-2 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it is 1-0 (3.41%).
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Benfica | 
| 10.87% (  0.09) | 16.94% (  0.16) | 72.18% (  -0.25) | 
| Both teams to score 49.65% (  -0.28) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.96% (  -0.53) | 39.03% (  0.53) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.64% (  -0.56) | 61.35% (  0.56) | 
| Estrela Amadora Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 54.86% (  -0.2) | 45.14% (  0.2) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.95% (  -0.16) | 81.05% (  0.16) | 
| Benfica Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 90.51% (  -0.19) | 9.49% (  0.19) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.16% (  -0.46) | 31.83% (  0.46) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Benfica | 
| 1-0 @ 3.41% (  0.07) 2-1 @ 3.19% (  0.02) 2-0 @ 1.36% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 1% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 10.87% | 1-1 @ 8.02% (  0.09) 0-0 @ 4.28% (  0.11) 2-2 @ 3.76% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 16.94% | 0-2 @ 11.87% (  0.09) 0-1 @ 10.08% (  0.16) 1-2 @ 9.45% (  0.02) 0-3 @ 9.33% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.42% (  -0.05) 0-4 @ 5.49% (  -0.05) 1-4 @ 4.37% (  -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.95% (  -0.04) 0-5 @ 2.59% (  -0.05) 1-5 @ 2.06% (  -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.74% (  -0.04) 0-6 @ 1.02% (  -0.03) Other @ 3.83% Total : 72.17% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 42 | 
| 3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 38 | 
| 4 | Braga | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 33 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 | 
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 | 
| 8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 | 
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 20 | 
| 10 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 | 
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 18 | 
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 | 
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 | 
| 14 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 16 | 
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 16 | 
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 | 
| 17 | Vizela | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 | 
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 | 
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