Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Portimonense |
34.31% (![]() | 26.19% (![]() | 39.5% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.82% (![]() | 51.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.98% (![]() | 73.02% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.56% (![]() | 28.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.81% (![]() | 64.19% (![]() |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.56% (![]() | 25.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.74% (![]() | 60.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 9.1% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.83% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.31% | 1-1 @ 12.45% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.23% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.9% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.52% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.78% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 44 | 12 | 32 | 51 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 49 |
3 | Porto | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 45 |
4 | Braga | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 39 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 32 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 25 |
8 | SC FarenseFarense | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 22 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 21 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 21 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 21 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 21 |
15 | Casa Pia | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 |
16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 18 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 14 |
18 | Vizela | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 13 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |