MX23RW : Saturday, February 10 05:21:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Portimonense
Estrela Amadora
3 - 0
Portimonense
Carlinhos (6' og.), Jaba (13'), Genezio (25')
Lima (28'), Varela (42'), Luiz (89'), Reis (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ventura (23'), Dener (38'), Sergio (45+7'), Pedrao (89')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Portimonense

Devoid of confidence, Estrela Amadora find themselves in the midst of a rut, and while they will fight desperately to avoid being cut adrift, we see the visitors having enough to take all three points with slightly more quality across the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawPortimonense
34.31% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 26.19% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 39.5% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Both teams to score 53.36% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82% (0.062999999999995 0.06)51.18% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.056000000000001 0.06)73.02% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.43% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.81% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)64.19% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (0.066000000000003 0.07)25.44% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (0.091999999999999 0.09)60.26% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 34.31%
    Portimonense 39.5%
    Draw 26.19%
Estrela AmadoraDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.31%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.52% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.78% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 39.5%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Portimonense

Estrela Amadora
23.5%
Draw
11.8%
Portimonense
64.7%
17
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 4
Portimonense
1-1
Estrela Amadora
Dener (38')
Mauricio (16'), Pedrao (66'), Dener (74')
Pereira Martins (14')
Genezio (10'), Vieira (11'), Tavares (24'), Ndour (73'), Omorwa (77'), Pereira Martins (80'), Kikas (90+5')
Jul 23, 2023 8.30pm
First Round
Portimonense
3-1
Estrela Amadora
Amorim (6' pen.), Carrillo (62'), Carlinhos (82' pen.)
Carlinhos (33'), Seck (73'), Silvestre da Costa (74'), Mauricio (90+4')
Tavares (58')
Mansur (1'), Lopes (5'), Carlos Silva Reis (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica20163144123251
2Sporting Lisbon19161253193449
3Porto20143333132045
4Braga20124444271740
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes20123532201239
6MoreirenseMoreirense209562524132
7AroucaArouca207493227525
8SC FarenseFarense207492828025
9Gil Vicente2064103034-422
10FamalicaoFamalicao195771823-522
11Estoril PraiaEstoril2063113435-121
12BoavistaBoavista205692737-1021
13Estrela Amadora2156102232-1021
14PortimonensePortimonense2163122344-2121
15Casa Pia2055101934-1520
16Rio AveRio Ave203982029-918
17ChavesChaves2035122046-2614
18Vizela2027111838-2013

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