

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 49.07% ( | 22.39% ( | 28.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.74% ( | 36.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.61% ( | 58.39% ( |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.85% ( | 15.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.26% ( | 43.74% ( |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( | 24.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.7% ( | 59.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 2-0 @ 6.68% ( 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-2 @ 4.1% ( 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 5-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 4.12% Total : 49.07% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 3-3 @ 1.91% ( Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 2-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 74 | 31 | 43 | 76 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 32 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 57 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 56 |
| 5 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 54 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 54 |
| 8 | Fulham | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 48 |
| 9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 48 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 45 |
| 11 | Brentford | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 43 |
| 13 | Everton | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 38 |
| 14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 38 |
| 15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 37 |
| 16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 35 |
| 17 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 35 |
| 18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 21 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 27 | 72 | -45 | 18 |
| 20 | Southampton | 32 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 77 | -54 | 10 |
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