Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Bournemouth |
49.07% (![]() | 22.39% (![]() | 28.54% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.74% (![]() | 36.27% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.61% (![]() | 58.39% (![]() |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.85% (![]() | 15.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.26% (![]() | 43.74% (![]() |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.26% (![]() | 24.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.7% (![]() | 59.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Fulham | Draw | Bournemouth |
2-1 @ 9.32% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.1% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 4.12% Total : 49.07% | 1-1 @ 9.88% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 6.9% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 74 | 31 | 43 | 76 |
2 | Arsenal | 32 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 63 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 57 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 56 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
6 | Chelsea | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 54 |
7 | Aston Villa | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 54 |
8 | Fulham | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 48 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 45 |
11 | Brentford | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 43 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 43 |
13 | Everton | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 38 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 37 |
16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 35 |
17 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 35 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 21 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 27 | 72 | -45 | 18 |
20 | Southampton | 32 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 77 | -54 | 10 |
> Premier League Full Table |