Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Fulham |
| 55.49% ( | 22.89% ( | 21.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( | 45.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.42% ( | 67.58% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% ( | 16.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 54.4% ( | 45.6% ( |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.99% ( | 35.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 28.24% ( | 71.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Fulham |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 3-0 @ 5.71% ( 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 5-1 @ 1% ( 5-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 55.49% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2% Total : 21.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| Q | | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
