

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Stevenage | 
| 28.97% (  0.69) | 25.74% (  0.04) | 45.3% (  -0.73) | 
| Both teams to score 52.68% (  0.32) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.91% (  0.21) | 51.09% (  -0.21) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.06% (  0.18) | 72.94% (  -0.18) | 
| Port Vale Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.99% (  0.63) | 32.01% (  -0.63) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.52% (  0.71) | 68.48% (  -0.71) | 
| Stevenage Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.49% (  -0.25) | 22.51% (  0.25) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.92% (  -0.37) | 56.08% (  0.37) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Port Vale | Draw | Stevenage | 
| 1-0 @ 8.21% (  0.07) 2-1 @ 6.97% (  0.13) 2-0 @ 4.67% (  0.12) 3-1 @ 2.65% (  0.09) 3-2 @ 1.97% (  0.06) 3-0 @ 1.78% (  0.08) Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.97% | 1-1 @ 12.24% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 7.21% (  -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.2% (  0.06) 3-3 @ 0.98% (  0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 10.74% (  -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.13% (  -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.01% (  -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.54% (  -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.98% (  -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.58% (  0.01) 1-4 @ 1.69% (  -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.49% (  -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.96% (  -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.29% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 | 
| P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 | 
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 | 
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 | 
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 | 
| 6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 | 
| 7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 | 
| 8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 | 
| 9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 | 
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 | 
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 | 
| 12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 | 
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 | 
| 14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 | 
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 | 
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 | 
| 17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 | 
| 18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 | 
| 19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 | 
| R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 | 
| R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 | 
| R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
