League One | Gameweek 30
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale0 - 1Portsmouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reading 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One
We said: Port Vale 1-2 Portsmouth
After Portsmouth got their promotion bid back on track last weekend, we think that they will record a second straight victory this weekend, especially as they have won two of their last three matches against Port Vale. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 53.97%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Portsmouth |
23.11% ( 0.44) | 22.93% ( 0.11) | 53.97% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 56.39% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
