

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 31.89% ( | 25.49% ( | 42.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.18% ( | 48.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.08% ( | 70.91% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( | 28.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.33% ( | 64.67% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( | 22.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.48% ( | 56.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 2-0 @ 5.09% ( 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 4-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.89% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0-2 @ 7.18% ( 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0-3 @ 3.54% ( 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
| P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
| 7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
| 8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
| 12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
| 14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
| 17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
| R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
| R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
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