

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 25.58% ( | 24.38% ( | 50.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( | 47.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% ( | 69.87% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( | 32.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.58% ( | 69.42% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% ( | 19.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.31% ( | 50.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 2-1 @ 6.43% ( 2-0 @ 3.88% ( 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 3-0 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 25.58% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-2 @ 8.6% ( 1-3 @ 5.29% 0-3 @ 4.75% ( 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 1-4 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.97% ( 2-4 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
| P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
| 7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
| 8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
| 12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
| 14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
| 17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
| R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
| R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
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