| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Peterborough United | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Portsmouth | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Bolton Wanderers | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Barnsley | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Bristol Rovers | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Lincoln City | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 57.24% ( | 22.74% ( | 20.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.37% ( | 46.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.1% ( | 68.9% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% ( | 16.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.6% ( | 45.4% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.59% ( | 37.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.81% ( | 74.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( 2-0 @ 10.04% ( 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 5-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 57.23% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0-0 @ 6% ( 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0-2 @ 2.9% ( 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 78 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 77 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 37 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 75 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 35 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 69 |
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 37 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 64 |
| 6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 64 |
| 7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 37 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 47 | 16 | 60 |
| 8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 60 |
| 9 | Portsmouth | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 57 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 55 |
| 11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 48 |
| 12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 46 |
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 45 |
| 15 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 36 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 45 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 44 |
| 17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 43 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 41 |
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 37 |
| 20 | MK Dons | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 35 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 34 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 30 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 37 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 28 | 71 | -43 | 23 |
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