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Championship header 2

League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Lincoln
2 - 1
Fleetwood

House (53'), Sorensen (57')
O'Connor (19'), House (45+2'), Erhahon (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Omochere (34')
Lawal (41'), Stockley (45+2')
Lawal (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Fleetwood Town

 Lincoln's games tend to be low-scoring, with the Imps averaging slightly over one goal-per-game scored and exactly one goal-per-game against heading into this match. They have kept three straight clean sheets and will be confident after their win against Burton with 10 men. However, Fleetwood will also be buoyed after winning two successive games, and we can envisage the two sides playing out a low-scoring draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 39%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawFleetwood Town
39% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06) 26.65% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 34.35% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.85% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)53.1% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)74.68% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)26.6% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)61.83% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.67% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.33% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 38.99%
    Fleetwood Town 34.35%
    Draw 26.65%
Lincoln CityDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.99%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.57% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.87% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.35%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Fleetwood

Lincoln City
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Fleetwood Town
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Fleetwood
0-1
Lincoln

Simons (36'), Robertson (89'), Vela (90+11')
Nsiala (90+6')
Mitchell (6')
Jensen (36'), Hamilton (43'), Sorensen (45'), Adelakun (90+2')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Fleetwood
2-1
Lincoln
Jackson (16' og.), Stockley (73')
Poole (45+5')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Lincoln
2-2
Fleetwood
Bishop (6', 14')
Roughan (33'), Hopper (59'), House (62')
Lane (32'), Garner (90+3')
Nsiala (30'), Lynch (59'), Earl (60'), Lane (81')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Fleetwood
1-1
Lincoln
Batty (31')
Clarke (22'), Butterworth (90+2')
Fiorini (64')
Walsh (21'), McGrandles (35'), Jackson (78')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Lincoln
2-1
Fleetwood
Scully (69', 87' pen.)
Melbourne (31'), Edun (64'), Bishop (75')
Andrew (32')
Matete (7'), Clark (74'), Hill (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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