Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 70.94%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 11.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.