Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 56.01%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.