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League One
Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Leyton Orient

Crawley
1 - 3
Leyton Orient

Quitirna (49' pen.)
Camara (30'), Hutchinson (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kelman (52', 53' pen.), Donley (90+2')
Brown (11'), Beckles (69'), Ball (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Crawley
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 2-3 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Leyton Orient

 Despite enduring mixed fortunes under Lindsey, Crawley will back themselves to earn something from this contest. Nevertheless, with Leyton Orient having recently gotten back on track, we can only predict a narrow away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawLeyton Orient
28.85% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 24.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 47.05% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.97% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.88% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)44.12% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.5% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)66.5% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (0.0040000000000049 0)28.52% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (0.0040000000000049 0)64.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)18.9% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.62% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)50.39% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 28.85%
    Leyton Orient 47.05%
    Draw 24.1%
Crawley TownDrawLeyton Orient
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 6.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.24% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.96% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.46%
3-0 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 28.85%
1-1 @ 11.26%
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.16% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.17% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 47.05%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 22
Leyton Orient
3-0
Crawley
Kelman (33'), Agyei (50'), Beckles (55')
O'Neill (76'), Pratley (76')

Wollacott (25'), Roles (45+1'), Kelley (74'), Camara (76')
> Preview
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Leyton Orient
1-0
Crawley
El Mizouni (49')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Crawley
0-1
Leyton Orient
James (50')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crawley
0-2
Leyton Orient

Tunnicliffe (18'), Lynch (21'), Hutchinson (70'), Tilley (90'), Nadesan (90+3')
Archibald (8'), Drinan (90+5')
Mitchell (86')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Leyton Orient
1-2
Crawley
Morris (62' og.)
Ogie (13'), Smith (32'), Clay (73'), Happe (82'), Wood (87'), Pratley (90+1')
Pratley (90+6')
Francomb (32'), Appiah (66')
Appiah (28'), Ferry (37'), Davies (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham42309375304599
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage431510184047-755
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830
> League One Full Table


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