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Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Leyton Orient

Crawley
1 - 3
Leyton Orient

Quitirna (49' pen.)
Camara (30'), Hutchinson (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kelman (52', 53' pen.), Donley (90+2')
Brown (11'), Beckles (69'), Ball (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Crawley
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 2-3 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Leyton Orient

Despite enduring mixed fortunes under Lindsey, Crawley will back themselves to earn something from this contest. Nevertheless, with Leyton Orient having recently gotten back on track, we can only predict a narrow away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawLeyton Orient
28.85% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 24.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 47.05% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.97% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.88% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)44.12% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.5% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)66.5% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (0.0040000000000049 0)28.52% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (0.0040000000000049 0)64.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)18.9% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.62% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)50.39% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 28.85%
    Leyton Orient 47.05%
    Draw 24.1%
Crawley TownDrawLeyton Orient
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 6.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.24% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.96% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.46%
3-0 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 28.85%
1-1 @ 11.26%
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.16% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.17% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 47.05%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 22
Leyton Orient
3-0
Crawley
Kelman (33'), Agyei (50'), Beckles (55')
O'Neill (76'), Pratley (76')

Wollacott (25'), Roles (45+1'), Kelley (74'), Camara (76')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crawley
0-2
Leyton Orient

Tunnicliffe (18'), Lynch (21'), Hutchinson (70'), Tilley (90'), Nadesan (90+3')
Archibald (8'), Drinan (90+5')
Mitchell (86')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Leyton Orient
1-2
Crawley
Morris (62' og.)
Ogie (13'), Smith (32'), Clay (73'), Happe (82'), Wood (87'), Pratley (90+1')
Pratley (90+6')
Francomb (32'), Appiah (66')
Appiah (28'), Ferry (37'), Davies (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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