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Major League Soccer
Apr 12, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
BMO Field
Minnesota United

Toronto
0 - 0
Minnesota Utd


Insigne (32')
FT

Hlongwane (17'), Abel Diaz Beleno (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 Toronto
Monday, April 7 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 6 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-0 Minnesota United

Toronto have played much better than the results may indicate, and we believe their improved defensive structure will see them finally claim maximum points against a side that rely heavily on transitional moments. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawMinnesota United
38.85% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 24.98% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 36.17% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 57.77% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38% (0.082999999999998 0.08)45.62% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.05% (0.079000000000001 0.08)67.94% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)23.27% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)57.2% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (0.10000000000001 0.1)24.7% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75% (0.14 0.14)59.24% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 38.85%
    Minnesota United 36.17%
    Draw 24.97%
TorontoDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 38.85%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.97%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.62% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 36.17%

How you voted: Toronto vs Minnesota Utd

Toronto
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Minnesota United
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 1.30am
Apr 20, 2019 1am
Gameweek 9
Toronto
4-3
Minnesota Utd
Pozuelo (28', 30'), Hamilton (77', 79')
Delgado (51')
Quintero (17', 70'), Rodriguez (57')
Calvo (90'), Quintero (93')
Gregus (89'), Calvo (91')
Jul 5, 2018 12am
Gameweek 21
Minnesota Utd
4-3
Toronto
Quintero (8', 52', 57'), Ibarra (13')
Warner (41'), Calvo (49'), Quintero (59')
Morrow (42'), Giovinco (70'), Hamilton (94')
May 13, 2017 8pm
Toronto
3-2
Minnesota Utd
Giovinco (20' pen.), Ramirez (54' og.), Ricketts (77')
Altidore (93')
Molino (52', 62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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