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Major League Soccer
Apr 12, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
BMO Field
Minnesota United

Toronto
0 - 0
Minnesota Utd


Insigne (32')
FT

Hlongwane (17'), Abel Diaz Beleno (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 Toronto
Monday, April 7 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 6 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-0 Minnesota United

Toronto have played much better than the results may indicate, and we believe their improved defensive structure will see them finally claim maximum points against a side that rely heavily on transitional moments. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawMinnesota United
38.85% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 24.98% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 36.17% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 57.77% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38% (0.082999999999998 0.08)45.62% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.05% (0.079000000000001 0.08)67.94% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)23.27% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)57.2% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (0.10000000000001 0.1)24.7% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75% (0.14 0.14)59.24% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 38.85%
    Minnesota United 36.17%
    Draw 24.97%
TorontoDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 38.85%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.97%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.62% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 36.17%

How you voted: Toronto vs Minnesota Utd

Toronto
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Minnesota United
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 1.30am
Apr 20, 2019 1am
Gameweek 9
Toronto
4-3
Minnesota Utd
Pozuelo (28', 30'), Hamilton (77', 79')
Delgado (51')
Quintero (17', 70'), Rodriguez (57')
Calvo (90'), Quintero (93')
Gregus (89'), Calvo (91')
Jul 5, 2018 12am
Gameweek 21
Minnesota Utd
4-3
Toronto
Quintero (8', 52', 57'), Ibarra (13')
Warner (41'), Calvo (49'), Quintero (59')
Morrow (42'), Giovinco (70'), Hamilton (94')
May 13, 2017 8pm
Toronto
3-2
Minnesota Utd
Giovinco (20' pen.), Ramirez (54' og.), Ricketts (77')
Altidore (93')
Molino (52', 62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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