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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2025 at 12am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto FC

Inter Miami
1 - 1
Toronto

Messi (45+5')
Segovia (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bernardeschi (45+2')
Thompson (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, April 3 at 4.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Toronto 0-0 Vancouver
Saturday, March 29 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto

Although Inter Miami have won four in a row in MLS, Mascherano's men have kept only one clean sheet during this run, which remains the team's only shutout this term, and this pattern may continue against Toronto. Nonetheless, the hosts should possess too much firepower to secure the points at the expense of the Canadian outfit, thus recording five wins on the trot in this match-up. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
67.32% (1.61 1.61) 17.94% (-0.407 -0.41) 14.73% (-1.209 -1.21)
Both teams to score 58.31% (-1.59 -1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.19% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)33.8% (0.625 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.35% (-0.718 -0.72)55.64% (0.712 0.71)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.74% (0.199 0.2)9.25% (-0.205 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.71% (0.47799999999999 0.48)31.28% (-0.484 -0.48)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (-1.901 -1.9)35.74% (1.895 1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (-2.007 -2.01)72.51% (2 2)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 67.32%
    Toronto 14.73%
    Draw 17.94%
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.37% (0.467 0.47)
1-0 @ 7.87% (0.323 0.32)
3-1 @ 7.65% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 7.43% (0.435 0.44)
4-1 @ 4.55% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.42% (0.297 0.3)
3-2 @ 3.93% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-2 @ 2.34% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-1 @ 2.17% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.11% (0.16 0.16)
5-2 @ 1.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 67.32%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.265 -0.27)
0-0 @ 3.31% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.94%
1-2 @ 4.17% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-1 @ 3.4% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 14.73%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Toronto

Inter Miami
Draw
Toronto
Inter Miami
91.7%
Draw
4.2%
Toronto
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 9pm
Aug 9, 2024 12.30am
Round of 32
Inter Miami
4-3
Toronto
Rojas (3', 59'), Gomez (11'), Suarez (20')
Cremaschi (84')
Martinez (28')
Insigne (15' pen., 41'), Allen (79' og.)
Laryea (43'), Wingo (54')
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
Inter Miami
3-1
Toronto
Gomez (43'), Redondo (53', 59')
Redondo (62'), Fray (87')
Etienne (80')
Etienne (52')
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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