Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 58.28%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 21.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | Toronto |
58.28% (![]() | 20.59% (![]() | 21.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.78% (![]() | 35.22% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.76% (![]() | 57.23% (![]() |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.05% (![]() | 11.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.67% (![]() | 37.33% (![]() |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.22% (![]() | 29.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.15% (![]() | 65.85% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | Toronto |
2-1 @ 9.73% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.03% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.56% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.54% Total : 58.28% | 1-1 @ 9.16% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.56% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.69% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.59% | 1-2 @ 5.55% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 21.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 50 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 48 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 43 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 38 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 37 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 36 |
7 | Orlando City | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 33 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 27 |
9 | Toronto | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 27 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
11 | DC United | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 26 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
14 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 24 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 46 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 44 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 38 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 38 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 37 |
7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 36 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 34 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 30 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 30 |
11 | Dallas | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 29 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 23 |
13 | St Louis City | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 22 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 14 |