

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 58.28%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 21.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Toronto |
| 58.28% ( | 20.59% ( | 21.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.78% ( | 35.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.76% ( | 57.23% ( |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.05% ( | 11.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.67% ( | 37.33% ( |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( | 29.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.15% ( | 65.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 3-2 @ 4.17% ( 4-1 @ 3.66% ( 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 5-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.54% Total : 58.28% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0-0 @ 3.56% ( 3-3 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.59% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0-2 @ 2.61% ( 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 21.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 50 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 48 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 43 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 38 |
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 33 |
| 8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 27 |
| 9 | Toronto | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 27 |
| 10 | Nashville SCNashville | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | DC United | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 26 |
| 12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 25 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 24 |
| 15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 22 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 44 |
| 4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 38 |
| 5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 38 |
| 6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 37 |
| 7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 36 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 34 |
| 9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Austin FCAustin | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Dallas | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 29 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 | St Louis City | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 22 |
| 14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 14 |
