MX23RW : Thursday, July 18 23:11:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 18, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
0 - 1
Monterrey


Arce (62'), Garnica (79'), Oliveros (80')
Garnica (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cortizo (57')
Canales (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Monterrey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Necaxa 4-1 Puebla
Sunday, July 14 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 0-4 Cruz Azul
Sunday, July 14 at 4.10am in Liga MX

We said: Necaxa 2-1 Monterrey

After an excellent result on the weekend, Necaxa should be confident of ending their five-game losing run against Monterrey on Wednesday night. Rayados need to bounce back quickly following a humbling defeat on Sunday, but we feel that Ortiz's troops will fall just short at Estadio Victoria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Monterrey in this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawMonterrey
26.58% (-0.881 -0.88) 25.37% (0.171 0.17) 48.04% (0.712 0.71)
Both teams to score 52.1% (-1.228 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96% (-1.278 -1.28)51.04% (1.279 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1% (-1.131 -1.13)72.9% (1.134 1.13)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16% (-1.374 -1.37)33.83% (1.376 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5% (-1.517 -1.52)70.5% (1.519 1.52)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (-0.21300000000001 -0.21)21.26% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82% (-0.332 -0.33)54.17% (0.333 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 26.58%
    Monterrey 48.04%
    Draw 25.37%
NecaxaDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.109 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.54% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-0 @ 4.22% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 26.58%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.362 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 11.13% (0.49 0.49)
1-2 @ 9.34% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.62% (0.327 0.33)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.45% (0.141 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.72% (0.044 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48.04%

How you voted: Necaxa vs Monterrey

Necaxa
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Monterrey
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2024 1am
Gameweek 17
Necaxa
2-5
Monterrey
Cambindo (59'), Jurado (90+6')
Mayorga (39'), Fentanes (40'), Arce (74'), Arce (76')
Gudino (78')
Berterame (50'), Canales (52', 64'), Gonzalez (81'), Vazquez (86')
Vegas (41'), Gomez (44')
Nov 1, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 15
Monterrey
3-0
Necaxa
Vegas (45+1'), Berterame (54'), Lopez (90+1')
Feb 18, 2023 11.06pm
Gameweek 8
Monterrey
2-1
Necaxa
Funes Mori (60'), Berterame (90+2')
Mendez (73' pen.)
Aug 13, 2022 3am
Gameweek 8
Necaxa
1-2
Monterrey
Garnica (37')
Aguirre (56'), Gonzalez (77')
Jan 15, 2022 3am
Gameweek 2
Necaxa
0-4
Monterrey

Salas (49')
Funes Mori (4'), Meza (23'), Vergara (44'), Gallardo (67')
Vegas (25'), Vergara (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul33008089
2PumasPumas32107347
3TolucaToluca32106247
4Tigres32103127
5Club TijuanaTijuana32016606
6MonterreyMonterrey320124-26
7Atlas31204315
8PachucaPachuca31112114
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara31114404
10Atletico San Luis311145-14
11PueblaPuebla311146-24
12NecaxaNecaxa31024313
13Club AmericaAmerica31024403
14Club Leon302136-32
15Juarez301257-21
16Santos LagunaSantos Laguna301213-21
17MazatlanMazatlan301226-41
18QueretaroQueretaro300327-50


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!