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Europa League

Europa League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 4pm UK
Ortaliq Stadion

Tobol
1 - 0
Ruzomberok

El Messaoudi (8')
Henen (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Maly (76'), Tucny (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Tobol and MFK Ruzomberok, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tobol

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Last Game: Ruzomberok 5-2 Tobol
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa League
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MFK Ruzomberok

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Ruzomberok 5-2 Tobol
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tobol win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for MFK Ruzomberok had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tobol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest MFK Ruzomberok win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tobol in this match.

Result
TobolDrawMFK Ruzomberok
38.23% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)25.88% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)35.88% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.6% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)49.69% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (-0.023 -0.02)71.7% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Tobol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)25.44% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)60.27% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
MFK Ruzomberok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Tobol 38.23%
    MFK Ruzomberok 35.88%
    Draw 25.88%
TobolDrawMFK Ruzomberok
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.23%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 35.88%

How you voted: Tobol vs Ruzomberok

Tobol
42.4%
Draw
27.3%
MFK Ruzomberok
30.3%
33
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2024 6pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Ruzomberok
5-2
Tobol
Gabriel (11', 88'), Selecky (40'), Maly (45+3'), Madlenak (77')
Gabriel (56'), Selecky (66'), Luteran (90+2')
Ivanovic (9'), Henen (45')
Chesnokov (33'), Gabaraev (47'), Shakhov (64'), Alioune N'Diaye (90+1'), Miladinovic (90+1')
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