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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Talen Energy Stadium
New England Revolution

Philadelphia
5 - 1
New England

Baribo (29', 44', 52'), Glesnes (39'), Sullivan (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Harkes (50')
Panayotou (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-2 New England Revolution

With the regular season close to entering its business end, this could prove to be a pivotal fixture. The teams have contrasting attacking records, yet we feel that a thriller could play out, one which benefits no-one in an entertaining draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
53.98% (0.804 0.8) 21.89% (-0.131 -0.13) 24.13% (-0.673 -0.67)
Both teams to score 61.29% (-0.325 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)37.76% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.99% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)60.01% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (0.229 0.23)14.06% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (0.448 0.45)41.64% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.32% (-0.57000000000001 -0.57)28.68% (0.568 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.5% (-0.718 -0.72)64.5% (0.71600000000001 0.72)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 53.98%
    New England Revolution 24.13%
    Draw 21.89%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.91% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.156 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.34% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.08% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.11% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.09 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.94% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.035 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 53.98%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.89%
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-1 @ 5.04% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 24.13%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs New England

Philadelphia Union
55.2%
Draw
34.5%
New England Revolution
10.3%
29
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 12.30am
New England
0-3
Philadelphia

Porter (15'), Kessler (17'), Vrioni (66'), Arreaga (85')
Spaulding (14')
Carranza (38'), Gazdag (47', 80')
Harriel (30')
Nov 9, 2023 12am
New England
0-1
Philadelphia

Gil (90+4')
Kaye (45')
Donovan (79')
Lowe (33'), Mbaizo (90+4')
Oct 28, 2023 10pm
Philadelphia
3-1
New England
Gazdag (19' pen.), Uhre (26'), Harriel (37')
Andres Martinez (87')
Bou (68')
Wood (29'), Farrell (35'), Chancalay (37'), Vrioni (87')
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Bou (25' pen., 42')
Carranza (16')
Harriel (7'), Lowe (23'), Wagner (24'), Carranza (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami24155454381650
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati24153643301348
3Columbus Crew22127346202643
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls2491143930938
5New York City FCNY City2411493529637
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2410682825336
7Orlando City249693837133
8CF MontrealMontreal246993448-1427
9Toronto2583143347-1427
10Nashville SCNashville2468102636-1026
11DC United2568113550-1526
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2467113335-225
13Chicago Fire2467112940-1125
14Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2459104242024
15New England RevolutionNew England2271142246-2422

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy25137547341346
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake24128449311844
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles23135545301544
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2311574031938
5Colorado RapidsColorado2511594741638
6Seattle SoundersSeattle2410773426837
7Portland TimbersPortland2410684839936
8Houston DynamoHouston239773127434
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2486103841-330
10Austin FCAustin2486102635-930
11Dallas2485113738-129
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2565144051-1123
13St Louis City24410103145-1422
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2442183159-2814


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