Major League Soccer

Jul 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
0 - 0
NY Red Bulls

LIVE
61'

Edelman (45+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 4-3 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 DC United
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We say: Philadelphia Union 2-3 New York Red Bulls

Although New York Red Bulls are not in particularly strong form, it is difficult to overlook the outright poor form of Philadelphia. Additionally, considering that both sides have been among the Eastern Conference's best offensive teams, fans could be in for an entertaining clash on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 26.45% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win is 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.95%).

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York Red Bulls
50.05% ( 0.35)	23.5% ( -0.05)	26.45% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 58.09% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.91% (

0.01)

43.09% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.51% (

0.01)

65.49% (

-0.01)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.67% (

0.13)

17.33% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.3% (

0.24)

47.7% (

-0.24)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26% (

-0.22)

29.74% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.2% (

-0.27)

65.8% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 50.05%

New York Red Bulls 26.45%

Draw 23.5%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.89% Total : 50.05%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.5%	1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.2% Total : 26.45%