

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 57.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 57.6% ( | 21.72% ( | 20.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.83% ( | 41.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.43% ( | 63.56% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.93% ( | 14.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.34% ( | 41.66% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( | 33.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.75% ( | 70.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 3-0 @ 5.94% ( 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 5-0 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 57.6% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 1-3 @ 2% ( 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 20.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
| 6 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
| 7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
| 11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 17 |
| 12 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
| 14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
| 3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
| 4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
| 5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
| 7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |
