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Mar 5, 2022 at 9pm UK at Saputo Stadium
Montreal
1 - 2
Philadelphia
Lappalainen (32')
Kone (20'), Wanyama (23'), Zouhir (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bedoya (53'), Gazdag (56')
Carranza (64')
Carranza (71')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-1 Montreal
Thursday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Montreal vs. Salt Lake
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Portland vs. Philadelphia
Monday, May 23 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-2 Philadelphia Union

Both sides will head into Saturday's game seeking their first win of the season after failing to pick up an opening-day victory in the league's curtain-raiser last weekend. The Us have been impressive in the recent history of this fixture and we predict they will extend their dominance and come away with all three points, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawPhiladelphia Union
39.62%25.38%34.99%
Both teams to score 56.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41%47.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21%69.79%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25%23.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1%57.89%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7%26.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.57%61.42%
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 39.62%
    Philadelphia Union 34.99%
    Draw 25.38%
CF MontrealDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.98%
2-1 @ 8.62%
2-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-0 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.11%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2%
Total : 39.62%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.34%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 3.57%
2-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 34.99%

How you voted: Montreal vs Philadelphia

CF Montreal
Draw
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
0.0%
Draw
50.0%
Philadelphia Union
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 6pm
Montreal
2-2
Philadelphia
Miljevic (33'), Sunusi (90+5')
Mihailovic (44'), Waterman (75')
Pantemis (63' og.), Wagner (77')
Aug 22, 2021 1am
Philadelphia
1-1
Montreal
Sullivan (87')
Mbaizo (3'), Monteiro (6')
Mihailovic (45+1')
Choiniere (44'), Miller (68'), Breza (90+4'), Kizza (90+5')
Oct 12, 2020 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-1
Montreal
Monteiro (39'), Santos (48')
Mbaizo (58'), Bedoya (76'), Real (90+3')
Sejdic (65')
Piette (55'), Wanyama (60'), Corrales (71')
Sep 21, 2020 12am
Montreal
1-4
Philadelphia
Quioto (5')
Quioto (16')
Bedoya (22'), Przybylko (45+3', 47'), Fontana (65')
Blake (28')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
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