

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chicago Fire in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 38.47% ( | 24.6% ( | 36.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.22% ( | 43.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.83% ( | 66.17% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% ( | 22.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.71% ( | 56.29% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% ( | 23.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.55% ( | 57.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.47% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 36.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
| 8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
| 13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
| 14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
| 3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
| 4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
| 5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
| 7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |
