Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
42.43% (![]() | 23.45% (![]() | 34.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.31% (![]() | 38.68% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.01% (![]() | 60.99% (![]() |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.37% (![]() | 18.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.06% (![]() | 49.93% (![]() |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% (![]() | 22.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.76% (![]() | 56.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-1 @ 8.84% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.08% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 3.56% Total : 42.43% | 1-1 @ 10.52% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.82% ( ![]() Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 7.82% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 3.29% Total : 34.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 29 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 14 |
13 | Dallas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 14 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |