Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
44.75% | 25.39% | 29.85% |
Both teams to score 54.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.78% | 49.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.72% | 71.27% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.03% | 21.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.73% | 55.26% |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.59% | 30.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.39% | 66.6% |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.75% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 7.95% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 24 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 23 |
3 | Orlando City | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 21 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
5 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 20 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 16 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 15 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
11 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 13 |
13 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 11 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 24 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 23 |
3 | Orlando City | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 21 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
5 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 20 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 16 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 15 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
11 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 13 |
13 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 11 |